Cameroon’s uneven inflation: five regional capitals exceed CEMAC threshold

Cameroon’s uneven inflation: five regional capitals exceed CEMAC threshold

While disinflation gains traction across Cameroon, a deep-seated geographical inequality in pricing persists. An analysis from the National Institute of Statistics (INS) detailing inflation trends in May 2026 reveals that five out of ten regional capitals recorded price increases surpassing the 3% tolerance threshold set for the CEMAC zone. This economic bloc comprises Cameroon, Congo, Gabon, Equatorial Guinea, Chad, and the Central African Republic. Nationally, the inflation rate settled at 2.7%, marking a notable decrease from the 3.3% observed a year prior.

Regional disparities in Cameroonian inflation rates

The INS report outlines a clear hierarchy of prices, with Bertoua experiencing the highest general price increase at 4.2% across its markets. Ngaoundéré followed closely at 3.8%, then Bafoussam at 3.7%, Bamenda at 3.6%, and Buea at 3.2%. Yaoundé, the political capital, registered an inflation rate precisely at the community’s 3% benchmark. At the other end of the spectrum, Garoua managed to limit its price surge to 2.1%, ahead of Douala at 2.4% and Ebolowa at 2.6%. Maroua, the administrative center of the Far North region, presented the most striking anomaly with a 0.7% price decline over the month.

These significant regional variances, as highlighted by the institute, stem from structural factors. These include fluctuating transport expenses, inconsistent availability of local produce, fragmented supply chains, and persistent logistical bottlenecks in specific areas. Essentially, the trajectory of prices remains intricately linked to the nation’s economic geography and the quality of infrastructure connecting production hubs with urban markets.

Security risks inflate prices in vulnerable regions

Beyond a purely statistical examination, the inflation map strikingly mirrors the landscape of insecurity. Bamenda and Buea, the regional capitals of the Anglophone North-West and South-West regions, have been grappling since late 2016 with the effects of a separatist conflict. This ongoing unrest severely disrupts agricultural output and commercial flows, with repercussions frequently spilling over into the neighboring West region, where Bafoussam serves as a primary market outlet. A similar dynamic is observed in Ngaoundéré and Bertoua, the main cities of the Adamaoua and East regions. These areas are destabilized by recurrent incursions from armed groups originating in the Central African Republic and Chad, compounded by the influx of displaced populations. These security challenges in parts of Africa significantly impact local economies and African politics.

In practical terms, insecurity drives up transportation costs, diminishes the volume of marketable harvests, and compels intermediaries to increase their margins. A clear correlation emerges between zones of tension and inflationary surges, even if the relationship is not always mechanically direct.

Maroua’s paradox and the Naira effect

However, the security-based theory encounters an emblematic exception. Maroua, the capital of the Far North, has been the city most exposed to the depredations of the Nigerian Islamist group Boko Haram since 2016. Despite this, it stands as the sole major city among the ten surveyed to record a price reduction of 0.7% in May 2026. The most plausible explanation lies in its proximity to neighboring Nigeria: the continuous depreciation of the Nigerian Naira renders imported goods, frequently introduced through informal channels, particularly competitive against the CFA franc. This monetary differential acts as an inflationary buffer, transforming the porous border into a crucial valve for household purchasing power in the region.

On a macroeconomic scale, Cameroon is steadily emerging from a period of economic tensions that began in late 2021. After peaking at 4.1% in the first half of 2025, national inflation receded to 2.1% in April 2026 before slightly rebounding to 2.7% in May. The year-on-year comparison confirms this moderation: the overall rise in prices has been significantly reduced over twelve months, allowing the nation to fall back below the community norm. This positive trend reflects efforts in governance Africa.

For the Central Bank of Central African States (BEAC), which manages monetary policy in the sub-region, this convergence towards the target provides new operational latitude. Yet, the persistence of localized inflationary pockets, particularly in areas weakened by security crises, serves as a reminder that merely restoring nominal equilibrium will not suffice to fully restore purchasing power across all regions of the country. This highlights ongoing challenges for society Africa.

theafricantribune